SAN FRANCISCO, CA (May 8, 1997) -- April same-store retail spending
rose a slight 1.3 % over the same period last year, according to data compiled
by TeleCheck Services Inc., the world's largest check acceptance company.
"Same-store sales grew slower in April than March's 2.1% increase, in part
because of an early Easter that shifted this year's Easter spending into
March. Last year, the final week of Easter spending occurred in April. In
addition, an unusually cool, wet April across much of the country may have
dampened sales of spring clothing, seasonal and outdoor merchandise," said
William Ford, TeleCheck's senior economic advisor.
TeleCheck's index is compiled on a calendar basis and is based on the total
sales volume of check-writing consumers at a broad cross-section of retailers.
Figures are not adjusted for inflation and obviously do not include credit
card sales. Payment by checks account for 37% of retail spending.
MOTHERS DAY: NOT ANOTHER BATHROBE, PLEASE
WHAT MOMS WANT and what Moms get on Mother's Day aren't necessarily the same
things. THE GOOD GUYS! <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: GGUY)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: GGUY)") end if %>, a leading consumer electronics
retailer on the west coast, is promoting several electronic and television
gift ideas to "take a little chaos out of Mom's busy day." With no offense
to this San-Francisco based retailer, if my family appears Mother's Day with
something that needs to be either plugged in, or I have to search for two
AA's batteries to run it (we know they would forget to buy them) I will go
on a major Mother strike. (No laundry, no making lunches, no car pooling,
hey Dad-nothing).
So children and fathers alike read on: The National Retail Federation, a
trade group in Washington, finds that 17% of mothers they talked to would
like to get jewelry. So how did jewelry wearing become a staple in Mom's
everyday life?
Marilyn Monroe sang "Diamonds are a Girls Best Friend," but not until the
end of the 19th century were fine jewels accessible to the middle class.
When 14-carat gold small objects set with seed pearls, little diamonds and
colored gemstones were able to be mass-produced, entrepreneurs changed
jewelry-making from an artisan trade that could be afforded by few into an
industry; Men and women staffed the factories with skilled labor; traveling
salesmen carried the goods as far as Alaska; they transformed jewelry-wearing
in America from the privilege of an elite into a near-necessity of the growing
middle class. Now millions of Americans buy "fine jewelry" in response to
changing fashion and seductive advertising.
Last year saw the fifth consecutive year of increases in gold jewelry sales
in the U.S., with total sales reaching $12.3 billion, up five percent from
1995 and up from $9.9 billion in 1992. Though dollar and unit sales were
up in virtually every distribution channel, the U.S. gold jewelry market
mirrored overall retail trends and displayed a share shift from small traditional
jewelry retail outlets to mass retailers. The average price paid for a piece
of gold jewelry in retail stores has remained virtually constant at eighty-six
dollars over the past five years. Seventy percent of gold jewelry was purchased
by women for themselves or as gifts for others. Gold sales among non-traditional
retail channels (discount stores, department stores and non-store retailers
such as QVC) now account for 53% of total gold jewelry sales. Smaller traditional
retail stores are still growing.
Mothers should be receiving little velvet boxes from their children and spouses
this Sunday. Therefore it's a splendid time to view some of the national
jewelry retailers. The corporate name may not be as familiar so I have included
those names used in the local shopping malls. One short note, the retail
expression "fine jewelry" is a term of art, meaning not costume jewelry,
yet not necessarily reflecting the quality or the expense.
FRIEDMAN'S INC. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: FRDM)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: FRDM)") end if %> is a rapidly expanding specialty retailer
of fine jewelry based in Savannah, Georgia. The company offers diamond jewelry,
bridal sets, dinner rings, pendants, earrings, watches, necklaces, and bracelets
marketing to the18- to 45-year-old age consumers in the low- to middle-income
spending group. The company offers lower prices than competitors by positioning
itself as a value leader in the specialty retail fine jewelry business. They
currently have 342 stores in 21 states. The company is the leading operator
of fine jewelry stores located in power strip centers. A power center strip
is usually one with high-volume anchors like Target or a Wal-Mart super store.
Friedman's expects to open between 70 and 90 stores in fiscal 1997, mostly
in existing markets."
Net income increased 52.6% to a record $2.6 million in the second fiscal
quarter of 1997, from net income of $1.7 million in the same period in 1996.
Earnings per share for the second fiscal quarter increased 28.6% to $0.18
per share, on a significantly larger average share base, compared to earnings
per share of $0.14 for the comparable period in fiscal 1996.
For the second fiscal quarter ended March 31, 1997, net merchandise sales
increased 29.4%, to $36.2 million from $28.0 million in the previous year.
Comparable store sales increased 3.0% during the second fiscal quarter. Total
revenues increased 28.2%, to $43.2 million in 1997, versus $33.7 million
for the same period in 1996.
Commenting on the results, Bradley J. Stinn, Chairman and Chief Executive
Officer, said, "The Friedman's team posted solid results for the March quarter.
Sales were good with a stable gross margin. Expense control was excellent
with the ratio of selling, general and adminstrative expense to revenue declining
to 36.9% from 37.8% in the prior year." The company attributed significant
progress in credit operations during the quarter. Friedmans closed today
at $17 3/8 unchanged.
Anyone receiving the Blue Box with the white satin ribbon knows immediately
it is a gift from legendary TIFFANY & CO. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE:TIF)") else Response.Write("(NYSE:TIF)") end if %>. The fifth
Avenue retailer of fine jewelry, timepieces, sterling, silverware, china,
crystal, stationery, writing instruments, fragrance, leather goods, scarves,
and ties has the image of glamor and has always catered to very exclusive
clientele. Tiffany management was very smart in the mid-eighties and started
to use the "status" of the Tiffany's name by broadening the company's appeal
and attracting less affluent customers and successfully boosting its profits.
The sterling silverware and china once only available through the Tiffany
store is now available at Macy's. Tiffany & Co. merchandise is available
in more than 80 stores and boutiques around the world, in jewelry and department
stores, and through their highly lucrative direct-mail catalogs.
This upscale retailer saw diamonds in their eyes, as the January 1997 year-end
figures showed increased sales to $922.1 million, which is a 14.8 % increase
over the 1996 figures of $803.3 million.The fourth quarter numbers are equally
impressive as sales rose from 327.6 million over the same quarter in 1996
of 280.7 million. The earnings per share rose from $0.78 to $1.00 when comparing
those same quarters. Tiffany's ended the trading day at $40 1/2 up $3/8.
A leading fine jewelry retailer MARKS BROS JEWELERS INC. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MBJI)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MBJI)") end if %> went public back in May of 1996. The stores are located in shopping
malls under the names Whitehall Co. Jewellers, Lundstrom Jewelers, and Marks
Bros. Jewelers. Whitehall is the company's primary trademark, with over 120
stores. Whitehall is the more upscale than most competing mall-based jewelry
retailers. Interestingly, the company operates two or three stores in the
same mall, each under a different name. All stores carry diamonds, gold,
and precious and semiprecious stone jewelry. The fiscal year ended January
1997 saw sales of $155.5 million, an increase of 18.6% from the previous
year of $131.1 million. In the middle of April, Marks Bros. announced it
would open 30 stores in 1997. The company hopes to accelerating the new store
expansion plan to take advantage of strong new store economics and favorable
demographics in the retail jewelry marketplace.
This Monday, Lazard Freres & Co. started coverage of Marks Bros. Jewelers
with a "buy" rating, commenting it was a "diamond in the rough." In addition
the investment house said "an accelerated store-opening program makes the
firm's projection of 20% annual earnings growth achievable assuming only
"modest" 3.5% same-store sales growth." The analyst estimated the retailer
will earn $1.07 a share in fiscal 1998 ending Jan. 31, and $1.30 a share
in fiscal 1999, compared with pro forma net income of $0.89 a share for the
year ended Jan. 31. Shares of this jeweler closed at $11 5/8, down $3/8.
ZALE CORPORATION <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE:ZLC)") else Response.Write("(NYSE:ZLC)") end if %> is the nation's largest specialty retailer
of fine jewelry, operating 1,072 retail jewelry stores and 185 leased departments
located throughout the United States, Guam, and Puerto Rico. It offers diamond
jewelry, bridal sets, dinner rings, pendants, earrings, watches -- average,
mid-priced jewelry to men and women in the 25 to 49 age bracket; Gordon's
combines "fun" with lower priced, contemporary merchandise to attract younger
consumers; Bailey Banks & Biddle, offers high-end merchandise from Rolex
watches to large diamond rings, and Diamond Park leases jewelry departments
in the department stores.
Today the Dallas-based company announced that sales for the third quarter
ended April 30, 1997 increased 9.9% to $244.4 million compared to sales of
$222.3 million for the quarter ended April 30, 1996. Comparable store sales
increased 6.1% for the quarter. "We are pleased to report another quarter
of solid sales growth, as we continue to increase our market share and solidify
our leadership position within the retail jewelry industry," commented Robert
J. DiNicola, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. In early April, Merrill
Lynch initiated coverage of Zale Corp. with a buy rating. Today it closed
at $19, down $1/8.
REFUNDS, EXCHANGES AND RETURNS
For those of you who are new, this occasional section revisits some of the
stocks mentioned in recent retail updates.
K-MART <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE:KM)") else Response.Write("(NYSE:KM)") end if %> expects to turn around and post a profit for the
first quarter which last year posted a loss. In a statement released by the
company, Kmart said sales were weak because of a slowdown in business late
last month and the shift in Easter sales to March from April this year. KMart's
same-store sales for the first quarter were up 5.5% because business was
strong during the first two months of the period, the retailer said. The
company will report earnings for the first quarter, which ended April 30,
on May 15. Last year, KMart's loss from continuing operations was $36 million,
or $0.08 a share, during the first quarter. Its net loss was $99 million,
or $0.21 a share. On a retailing note, in what may turn out to be a great
management decision, the KMart alliance with kitchen and home guru Martha
Stewart continues, as the two companies announced a new coordinated paint
line, available soon, in the KMart Stores. KMart closed $13 1/4, down $1/4.
Last Friday two of my favorite drug stores announced that their April same
stores sales were up. RITE AID CORP <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: RAD)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: RAD)") end if %> had same-store sales
up 6.2%. This figure was based on an increase in sales to $799.4 million
from a year ago of $436.3 million. WALGREEN CO. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: WAG)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: WAG)") end if %> April
same-store sales up 5.1% The sales were $1.804 million, up from $983 million.
The year-to date numbers were reported as $4.431 million over the 1996 figures
of $3.897 million. Gee, is that a lot of aspirin. Rite Aid closed at $47
3/8, up $3/4 and WAG closed at $45 3/4, down $1/2.
NOODLE KIDOODLE INC. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: NKID)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: NKID)") end if %> today announced that total sales
in its stores for the first quarter of fiscal 1998 increased 89% to $15.5
million from $8.2 million for the same period last year. Same store sales
for the first quarter increased 18%. Eighteen stores were included in the
company's comparable store base for the first quarter. As noted in a recent
retail update, Noodle Kidoodle is one of the few publicly traded retailers
to sell that hot plush toy Beanie Babies.
SUNGLASS HUT INTERNATIONAL <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: RAYS)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: RAYS)") end if %> reported today that sales
for the four weeks ended May 3, 1997 were $44.4 million, an increase of 10.1%
compared to the $40.4 million reported for the same period last year. Comparable
store sales for the four-week period decreased 3.4%. Sales for the 13-week
first quarter ended May 3, 1997, increased 12.6% to $138.3 million, compared
to $122.8 million for the comparable period in 1996. Comparable store sales
for the three-month period decreased 3.3%. The company blamed "weaker mall
traffic and less than favorable weather conditions [which] contributed to
a lower than anticipated comparable store sales performance in April."
**THE FOOLISH SHOPPING MAVEN's OPINION**
DONNA KARAN INTERNATIONAL <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: DK)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: DK)") end if %> is a mess. This week the chief
administrative officer left the company, marking another setback for the
fashion house. In announcing the departure of this Morgan Stanley executive
it becomes clear that the creative soul of Ms. Karan, and the economic strategies
of Dewey K. Shay were like mixing oil and water. According to news sources,
Donna Karan brought in Shay from Morgan Stanley to " fulfill a promise to
find an executive to bolster its business planning and cost-control efforts".
In recent months, it was reported that Shay had taken an increasingly active
and high-profile role in the company, from talking to analysts and bankers
to serving as a company spokesman on financial matters. He focused on
cost-cutting at the design house, promising last month that the company would
study expenses "line by line to see what we can do without and what can be
curtailed." Analysts and investors continually questioned whether such a
philosophy would interweave and work with Ms. Karan's operating style. Indeed
the designer herself last year noted: "We creative types like to spend."
( Donna, get a grip.)
Obviously her creative spending has not helped earnings or the stock. Since
the glamor- filled public offering last June at $24, the company has struggled
with high expenses, slipping sales of its most expensive products and a failed
jeans licensing deal with DESIGNER HOLDING LTD. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: DSH)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: DSH)") end if %>.
Donna Karan posted an 87% decline in pro-forma earnings Thursday amid high
expenses and sluggish sales, falling well below Wall Street estimates. The
upscale apparel company said its first-quarter net income was $806,000, or
4 cents a share, down from pro-forma earnings of $6.2 million, or $0.29 a
share, in the year-ago period. The First Call estimate for the latest quarter
was $0.23 a share. Meanwhile, Donna Karan's revenue for the quarter totaled
$158.8 million, down a bit from $159.6 million a year ago. The company's
gross profit margin fell to 28.4% from year-earlier pro forma gross profit
margin of 30.5%. The company stated reduction was due to increased design
and production costs and increased sales dilution.
From the vantage point of this retail shopper, Donna Karan should re-evaluate
her business, first from a fashion eye, and then from an investor's perspective.
Women are tired of wearing the same basic bodysuits, black, beige and grey
suits and are weary of paying the big bucks for an unlined jacket. Her basic
classic styles have become somewhat flat, as this 7th Avenue designer competes
with the vibrant colored Gucci and trendsetting but stylish Armani. When
the company began selling its DKNY line in discounters like Ross and Marshalls
it didn't sit well with me. From an investor's viewpoint, she owes it to
her shareholders to work with someone from the business side to hold down
costs and not be such a creative prima donna. Bandages made from the most
expensive raw silk won't help. Investors interested in holding in their
portfolio, an upscale retail stock may dump The Donna for The Ralph as the
IPO saunters down the "cat walk" in the next few weeks. POLO RALPH LAUREN
will trade on the NYSE under the symbol RL. Donna Karan's stock finished
at $10, up $0.25.
ALTERATIONS
Here is where investment houses announcements are reported. Over time, they
seem to be as unpredictable and ever changing as the length of skirts.
Alex. Brown initiated a group of retailer stocks last Friday. Two retailers,
FEDERATED DEPARTMENT STORES <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE:FD)") else Response.Write("(NYSE:FD)") end if %> and DAYTON HUDSON <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE:DH)") else Response.Write("(NYSE:DH)") end if %>
were started as "strong buy". The following were initiated as "market perform":
WALMART <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE:WMT)") else Response.Write("(NYSE:WMT)") end if %>; SEARS ROEBUCK AND CO <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: S)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: S)") end if %>; K MART CORP
<% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: KM)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: KM)") end if %>; J.C. PENNEY'S INC. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: JCP)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: JCP)") end if %> ; NORDSTROM, INC
<% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: NOBE)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: NOBE)") end if %>; KOHL'S CORP. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: KSS)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: KSS)") end if %>; DILLARD DEPARTMENT STORES
INC. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: DDS)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: DDS)") end if %>; MAY DEPARTMENT STORES <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: MAY)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: MAY)") end if %>.
Remember your plastic -- "We never leave Fooldom without it." |