HEROES
Last night, SYNTEL INC. (Nasdaq:
SYNT) announced that it had commenced
an initial public offering (IPO) of 3 million shares at $11.The issue surged
$3 to $16 1/2 today on volume of 1.1 million shares. Founded in 1980, the
company is a global provider of outsourcing solutions, "Year 2000" compliance
services, and professional
information
technology (IT) staffing solutions. With the new cash, Syntel plans to
purchase its affiliate operation in India, whose low-cost contract operations
will boost margins in similar fashion to COMPLETE BUSINESS SOLUTIONS
<% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CBSL)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CBSL)") end if %>. After today's move, the company trades at 4.07x sales with
operating margins of 5.2% in its most recent quarter, placing it on a valuation
basis alongside its more mature peers like RENAISSANCE SOLUTIONS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: RENS)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: RENS)") end if %>. With IT becoming more critical to strategic positioning and projected
growth at 15% per year through 2000, the retention of key personnel and the
subsequent control of employee costs will be key to the continued success
of the company.
Call management software company MELITA
INTERNATIONAL CORP. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MELI)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MELI)") end if %> made a strong connection with investors
today, moving up $1 1/2 to $9 1/2 on announcing that it had received
certification from ASPECT TELECOMMUNICATIONS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ASPT)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ASPT)") end if %> for the
integration of both companies' products on sites where they share customers.
As Melita's press release explains, "When predetermined inbound call volume
thresholds are exceeded, ActionPACT (MELI product) automatically reassigns,
or "flexes'', outbound agents to handle inbound calls delivered from the
Aspect CallCenter ACD. When inbound call volume decreases, the agents are
flexed back to their outbound call route under the control of the Melita
PhoneFrame CS system." This translates into more potential revenue for Melita,
of course. [Aspect Telecommunications
Message
Board]
SBE INC. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: SBEI)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: SBEI)") end if %>, a provider of high-speed communications
controllers and remote access router products, reported a blowout third quarter,
boosting shares $3 1/4 to $14 1/2. Revenues for the quarter were $7.4 million,
a 155% increase over revenues reported in the same period in 1996, and EPS
of $0.27 topped estimates of $0.18. The company's suite of netXpand
products allow for data transfer among multiple sites of a single company
(router function) and also provide remote access to the corporate LAN for
employees operating away from the office. The company's share price has tripled
since the beginning of the year, while improving its balance sheet numbers
and liquidity ratios along the way. SEI's
return
on equity clocks in at 35%, and if the company continues to trade at
25x forward earnings, there might still be room for appreciation.
QUICK TAKES: Diversified electronics contract manufacturer EA INDUSTRIES <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: EA)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: EA)") end if %>, picked up $1 5/16 to $6 3/4 on news of a 1.8 book-to-bill ratio in its second quarter... Shoring up its #1 position in the manufacture of medium-sized and heavy trucks, NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: NAV)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: NAV)") end if %> bulked up $1 9/16 to $22 1/8 after it reached a tentative agreement to continue to supply diesel engines for several Ford products... A rally in its stock in Hong Kong extended to its American Depository Receipts (ADRs) in the U.S. as CHINA SOUTHERN AIRLINES <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: ZNH)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: ZNH)") end if %> climbed $3 1/8 to $34 5/16 after announcing restructuring attempts that will replace the old-world style of adding shareholder value through asset injections... TERADYNE COMPUTER CO. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: TER)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: TER)") end if %> jumped $3 3/4 to $50 1/2 after announcing an order to install its 4TEL Access Network Maintenance System throughout Slovak Telecom's network... ISOMEDIX INC. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: ISO)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: ISO)") end if %> climbed $1 3/8 to $20 3/16 on news that STERIS CORP. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: STRL)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: STRL)") end if %> will acquire the provider of contract gamma radiation and ethylene oxide sterilization services for manufacturers of pre-packaged products... Benefiting from a Deutsche Morgan Grenfell "buy" recommendation, PERITUS SOFTWARE SERVICES <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: PTUS)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: PTUS)") end if %> rose $3 1/8 to $24 5/8... MARKET FACTS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MFAC)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MFAC)") end if %> got all the facts right today, rising $2 7/8 to $22 7/8 as the market continued to digest approval of its Chinese research joint venture.
Hambrecht & Quist analyst Dirk Godsey raised his rating on CSG SYSTEMS INTERNATIONAL <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CSGS)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CSGS)") end if %> to "strong buy" from "buy," prompting some "buying" that raised the stock $3 5/8 to $29 5/8... Shares of BIOMATRIX INC <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: BIOX)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: BIOX)") end if %> grew $3 to $25 3/4 as it received Food and Drug Administration approval to market Synvisc in the U.S.... ASM LITHOGRAPHY HOLDINGS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ASMLF)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ASMLF)") end if %> rose $10 1/4 to $91 3/8 in sympathy with APPLIED MATERIALS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: AMAT)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: AMAT)") end if %> rise of $9 to $99 3/8 today after reporting earnings last night... Retail drug store chain PHAR-MOR INC. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: PMOR)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: PMOR)") end if %> rose $3/4 to $7 after reporting positive earnings for 4Q 1997... WIZTEC SOLUTIONS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: WIZTF)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: WIZTF)") end if %> showered some gains down on investors, moving up $13/16 to $7 3/4 after the software maker reported 2Q EPS of $0.06 with revenues up 61% over last year... Workplace child care IPO CORPORATE FAMILY SOLUTIONS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CFAM)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CFAM)") end if %> rose $3 5/8 to $13 5/8 as 2.35 million shares were sold... Supply chain management software company MANUGISTICS GROUP <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MANU)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MANU)") end if %> rose $2 1/2 to $43 3/4 today after the commencement of its secondary offering of 1,900,000 shares... XYLAN CORP. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: XYLN)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: XYLN)") end if %> climbed $1 1/2 to $17 1/2 as the beaten-down networker announced that its "OmniSwitch" product family had been selected for the IT-21 program, a four-year Navy initiative to upgrade the computing capabilities of the 300-ship U.S. fleet and a number of land facilities.
GOATS
Non-standard home equity lender CITYSCAPE FINANCIAL CORP. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CTYS)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CTYS)") end if %> dropped $1 7/8 to $10 1/8 as the Blair government in Great Britain
stepped up its look at the amount the company charges for loan prepayments
and late payment fees. Unfortunately for sub-par borrowers in the U.K., this
may hamper their ability to access mortgage loans, as the market there is
riskier than in the U.S. judging from delinquency rates. Fortunately for
Cityscape, most of its business is done in the U.S., but the U.K. has been
targeted as a growth area, and loan originations and securitizations are
more profitable in the U.K. The company warned about the Blair government
looking at the industry last month, though, so the information this morning
probably should not have been a total surprise. [Cityscape Financial Corp.
Message
Board]
Miami-based CAPITAL BANCORP <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CBCP)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CBCP)") end if %> lost $5 3/8 to $40 5/8
after the company announced that it has agreed to merge with Tennessee bank
UNION PLANTERS CORP. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: UPC)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: UPC)") end if %>. Capital Bancorp shareholders will
receive 0.8525 shares of Union Planters for each of their shares, valuing
Capital Bancorp shares at $43. Capital Bancorp subsidiary specialty finance
company CAPITAL FACTORS HOLDING <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CAPF)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CAPF)") end if %> lost $3/4 to $17 3/4
on news of the merger, but there was no mention in the press release of what
is planned for that company. It would probably add more to Union Planters
if it were kept as a separately traded subsidiary and would be useful as
a vehicle to buy loans or accounts receivable.
Memory chip and PC maker MICRON TECHNOLOGY <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: MU)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: MU)") end if %> was hit again
today, this time for a $7 3/8 loss to $42 3/4 on a Merrill Lynch rating downgrade
and a 1998 EPS estimate cut of 32%. Analyst Tom Kurlak believes the transition
to 64 megabit dynamic random access memory (DRAM) chips will happen slightly
faster than expected, making 1998 more of a transition year for Micron. In
a conference call this afternoon, Kurlak also said that he believes the sell-off
is overdone. A continuing problem with the outlook for Micron is the almost
obsessive focus on prices for DRAM. Historical pricing trends show that
semiconductor prices do not have to be stable for a company to make money.
At least half the investment thesis on the company has to do with its ability
to cut costs through process step reduction and shrinking of semiconductor
feature sizes. That said, some investors wonder why Kurlak would say a 14%
drop is overdone when he just lopped 32% off his 1998 EPS estimate. [Micron
Technology
Message
Board]
QUICK CUTS: Transaction printer manufacturer DH TECHNOLOGY
<% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: DHTK)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: DHTK)") end if %> lost $4 1/2 to $19 1/2 after announcing that most of the
company's shares had been tendered at $25 per share to French acquirer Axiohm...
ASI SOLUTIONS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ASIS)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ASIS)") end if %> dropped another $1 to $8 3/4 after the
human resources outsourcing company said yesterday that it sees earnings
next quarter being hurt by lower revenues and higher levels of investment
in corporate infrastructure... Zinc cold lozenge company QUIGLEY CORP.
<% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: QGLY)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: QGLY)") end if %> lost $2 13/16 to $14 9/16 on reporting Q2 EPS of $0.07 and
EPS of $0.47 in its seasonally slowest quarter... GOLDEN BOOKS FAMILY
ENTERTAINMENT <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: GBFE)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: GBFE)") end if %> slumped $1 5/8 to $10 1/2 after the publisher
of children's books reported a decline in revenues for its first half (excluding
revenue from a unit that has been sold) and continued negative earnings.
Spinal fusion equipment company SPINE-TECH INC. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: SPYN)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: SPYN)") end if %> fell
$6 to $45 7/8 on a Hambrecht & Quist downgrade from "strong buy" to "buy"...
ACE*COMM CORP. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ACEC)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ACEC)") end if %> dropped
$1 7/8 to $15 after pre-announcing record quarterly revenues of $11.1 million;
however, the company implied that it might not make earnings estimates for
the quarter... Crash safety products maker SIMULA INC. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: SMU)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: SMU)") end if %>
ticked down $1 1/4 to $21 1/4 after Q2 EPS fell short of estimates of $0.03,
but were saved from further damage by the company's reporting a book-to-bill
ratio of about 1.3 for the quarter... Eldercare company CAREMATRIX CORP.
<% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(AMEX: CMD)") else Response.Write("(AMEX: CMD)") end if %> slid $1 5/8 to $22 7/16 on announcing the issuance of $100
million of convertible debt... Call center software company VERSATILITY
INC. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: VERS)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: VERS)") end if %> lost $1 to $8 after pre-announcing Q1 EPS of $0.06,
below the analysts' consensus estimate of $0.07 but up 50% year-over-year.
FOOL
ON THE HILL
An Investment Opinion by Randy
Befumo
Former taxicab driver Wade Cook continues to demonstrate the power of advertising
on the airwaves of local radio stations. Without anything even resembling
a nationwide publicity campaign, the author of Wall Street Money Machine
and Stock Market Miracles currently holds the number four and number
six spots on the Business Week best-seller list. Reflecting the success of
his publishing empire as well as a three-for-one stock split announced today,
Cook's PROFIT FINANCIAL CORP. (OTC: WADE) shot up $7 1/2 to $18 today
on seven times normal trading volume. The move is particularly notable given
that Cook's work stresses stock splits as part of his path to the somewhat
outrageous doubling of your money every two-and-a-half to four months.
For readers unfamiliar with Cook, his books promote ideas like using both
stocks and options to speculate on "rolling" stocks, splits, "dividend capture"
and other rather suspiciously simple notions. His claims of doubling your
money every two-and-a-half to four months are difficult to take seriously,
given that $10,000 doubled every four months would turn into $34.9 trillion
after only ten years. Despite the obvious exaggeration of the potential results
using his "techniques," the books have been selling like hotcakes and apparently
the seminar business has picked up for Cook as well. The somewhat naive interest
in Cook's investment approach has apparently now transformed into a blind
interest in the stock of his publicly traded holding company, with shares
shooting up from a low of $5 on July 23 to today's perch of $18.
Cook's company is so small that it currently does not have to make quarterly
filings with the Securities Exchange Commission. Trading on the over-the-counter
(OTC) Bulletin Board, the shares are not Nasdaq listed in spite of the fact
that they have a four-letter ticker symbol. Nasdaq in its ever-increasing
quest to distance itself from the speculative and sometimes outright criminal
activity in OTC Bulletin Board stocks refuses to allow its name to be associated
with them. Since almost all institutional investing charters specifically
prohibit any pension fund, mutual fund, insurance company, or private money
management concern from investing in "non-listed" stocks, the entire volume
in Profit Financial Corp. is unfortunately probably made up of individual
investors who are relatively new to investing.
The parabolic rise of Profit Financial recalls another company whose exaggerated
claims caused its stock to run up from $0.75 to $57 in a few months on the
OTC Bulletin Board only to crash all the way back to $2.81 today --
INTERNATIONAL AUTOMATED SYSTEMS (OTC: IAUS) and its supposed development
of a 14.0 gigabit/second modem that could be used over conventional telephone
wires. The company has never demonstrated the technology, and the hollow
promises of many months ago to eventually show the product after it was evaluated
by large telephone companies have not come true. While certainly Profit Financial
Corp. is now making money from the seminars and books the company is selling,
the fact that the only information we have on the company comes from a 10-12G
filing to issue more stock does not raise any confidence that the company
that will start to report complete financial details on a regular basis.
The company recently announced year-end 1996 revenues in July of 1997 --
a mere seven-month delay.
Based on the financial statements from fiscal 1996, Cook's company current
trades at 2.8 times sales and 38 times earnings. The company's profit margins
are around 10%, although a whopping 50% of revenues was eaten up by sales,
general and administrative expenses -- probably the combination of advertising,
generous commissions, and even more generous salaries. Despite all this,
the company has negative working capital. Even more interesting, even though
Cook's website (www.wadecook.com) claims to be "the only place on the Internet
teaching you how to double your money in 2 1/2 to 4 months" using stocks,
according to the 10-12G the company has been investing its excess cash in
real estate -- specifically hotels. Although the filing is remarkably detailed,
the fact that the company trades on the over-the-counter market combined
with the poor visibility on future financial updates make the current price
seem somewhat generous relative to the risks that appear to be present.
CONFERENCE CALLS
AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: AUD)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: AUD)") end if %>
(800) 633-8284 (reservation # 2748489) -- replay
HADCO CORP <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: HDCO)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: HDCO)") end if %>
(800) 633-8284 (reservation #288 3483) -- replay through 8/13 @ 7:00 pm EDT
ASPEN TECHNOLOGY <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: AZPN)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: AZPN)") end if %>
(402) 220-0112 -- replay from 8/13 @ 8:00 pm EDT through 8/14 @ 8:00 pm EDT
COMPUSA <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: CPU)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: CPU)") end if %>
(800) 642-1687 (code: 555471) -- replay through 8/14 @ 1:00 pm EDT
SARA LEE <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: SLE)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: SLE)") end if %>
(402) 220-3124 -- replay through 8/14
CISCO SYSTEMS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CSCO)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CSCO)") end if %>
(800) 633-8284 (code: 2875731) -- replay through 8/15
APPLIED MATERIALS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: AMAT)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: AMAT)") end if %>
(800) 642-1687 (code: 522530) -- replay from 8:30 pm EDT through 8/14 @ 8:30
pm EDT
DOLLAR GENERAL CORP <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE:DG)") else Response.Write("(NYSE:DG)") end if %>
(402) 220-1032 -- replay through 8/15 @ 6:00 pm EDT
FOUNDATION HEALTH SYSTEMS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: FHS)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: FHS)") end if %>
(402) 220-0104 -- replay through 8/15
SEAGRAM <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: VO)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: VO)") end if %>
(800) 558-5253 (reservation # 601492) -- replay through 8/15
THIS WEEK'S CONFERENCE CALL SYNOPSES
APPLIED MATERIALS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: AMAT)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: AMAT)") end if %> Call
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