By
Make it thy business to know thyself,
With your hard-core savings set aside, you are now ready to address the topic
of allocation. It's one of those subjects near and dear to big-time money
managers. They love to bandy it about as they defend their citizen's right
to prattle on about how: "Only a professional should manage your money."
Convenient, that one!
We're telling you that your portfolio allocation shouldn't be terribly complex
and that you'll want to find one design for your long-term savings and stick
with it. Why? Well, you've heard the story before. This month your broker
Rollie recommends that you have 60 percent of your portfolio in stocks, 30
percent in bonds, and 10 percent in cash. In four months, though, it's time
to go 40 percent stocks, 35 percent bonds, and 25 percent cash. Unless you've
recently come across some new cash, there's only one way that you can follow
his new allocation strategy -- sell something that you already
own and buy something new in its place.
Look at those two italicized, underlined words above:
Sell and Buy
If you're an individual investor using a full-service broker, we recommend
that you merge those two words into one: transact. We now suggest
that you translate that single word back into a short and deliciously-accurate
phrase: Hey, pay me and my investment firm more money in commissions.
You can name us spoiled sports, but we think much of the hullabaloo on Wall
Street about asset allocation is driven by a vested interest in generating
more transactions from customers, more commission payments, more profits
for the firm. When you reason through the consequences of frequently redefining
your portfolio allocation, we think you'll agree that if you truly are a
long-term investor -- if you have more than 8-10 years to invest -- you should
stick with a single, low-cost allocation strategy: 100% in stocks.
Along with the joys of that one-time allocation decision, we think you stand
to make the most money by owning businesses, not worrying about the daily
fluctuations of stock prices. We'd consider it very Foolish of you to someday
say to a friend, "I have a whole mess of General Electric stock. It's somewhere
around $80-$95 per share. And yeah, it trades between 20-40x earnings. Boy,
their cash-flows have been improving year over year. GE Capital is a wonderful
business for them."
We believe that the short-term, present-day valuation is far less important
than your estimation of how the business is doing today and how you expect
it to do in the years and decades ahead. Both the 11 Steps that you
are reading and the Rule Maker portfolio online propose that you buy ownership
positions in cash-rich companies and that you tend toward not selling these
investments for years, decades if possible, generations is ideal. Your aim
will be to not trade, to not get on the cover of a financial magazine for
being a market maven, and to not be invited onto financial television. You'll
be encouraged to disregard the often self-serving whims of financial firms
and to mostly eliminate the unnecessarily high costs of investing.
And finally, Fool, you'll be looking for companies whose products and services
you use, companies which you believe have staying power for the next two
decades, companies with management teams committed to rewarding their
shareholders. Contrast that with the all-too-typical recommendation from
small brokerage firms calling you during dinner. They often pitch the stocks
of businesses that you've never heard of, those stocks with supposedly remarkable
short-term prospects run by management teams that are too often primarily
concerned with rewarding themselves. We don't mean to sound like cynical
Fools. We've just learned some things over the years. Syndicated columnist
Abigail Van Buren can speak for us here:
"If we could sell our experiences for what they cost us, we'd all be millionaires."
Experience in this game has taught us to trade infrequently and to concentrate
on durable businesses that we know and love. With that, let's press forward
into how we've allocated the Rule Maker Portfolio, why, and why you might
consider doing the same.
Our Foolish Keys to Portfolio Allocation.
Step 4: Finding Rule Maker Investment Ideas »
which is the most difficult lesson in the world.
-- Miguel de Cervantes