<THE FOOLISH FOUR>

Dow Performance Numbers
by Robert Sheard

LEXINGTON, KY. (August 12, 1998) -- Let's look at some performance numbers for the thirty Dow stocks, for all of you who are relative strength fans like I am. Unfortunately, the Dow stocks haven't performed particularly well as a group for relative strength investing this year, outside of Wal-Mart <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: WMT)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: WMT)") end if %>, at least not in our Dozens model (see today's Workshop report).

All of the returns listed here are through August 5, 1998, and include dividends.

Previous Quarter
Average Stock: -5.46%
Best Stock: 22.31% Wal-Mart <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: WMT)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: WMT)") end if %>
Worst Stock: -28.79% Hewlett-Packard <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: HWP)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: HWP)") end if %>

Previous Six Months
Average Stock: 5.52%
Best Stock: 42.27% Wal-Mart <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: WMT)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: WMT)") end if %>
Worst Stock: -22.62% Boeing <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: BA)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: BA)") end if %>

Previous Year
Average Stock: 10.75%
Best Stock: 69.40% Wal-Mart <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: WMT)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: WMT)") end if %>
Worst Stock: -33.13% Boeing <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: BA)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: BA)") end if %>

Previous Three Years (Annualized)
Average Stock: 25.13%
Best Stock: 62.31% Travelers Group <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: TRV)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: TRV)") end if %>
Worst Stock: 4.20% International Paper <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: IP)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: IP)") end if %>

Previous Five Years (Annualized)
Average Stock: 23.34%
Best Stock: 44.62% Int'l Business Machines <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: IBM)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: IBM)") end if %>
Worst Stock: 9.45% International Paper <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: IP)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: IP)") end if %>

Previous Ten Years (Annualized)
Average Stock: 18.93%
Best Stock: 34.65% Coca-Cola <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: KO)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: KO)") end if %>
Worst Stock: 9.78% Goodyear <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: GT)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: GT)") end if %>

If you're following a relative strength method based on the past 6-month returns, here are the current top ten Dow stocks, sorted on that factor:

42.27% Wal-Mart Stores <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: WMT)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: WMT)") end if %>
31.47% Int'l Business Mach. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: IBM)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: IBM)") end if %>
27.27% McDonald's Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: MCD)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: MCD)") end if %>
25.80% Eastman Kodak <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: EK)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: EK)") end if %>
24.71% Amer. Express <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: AXP)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: AXP)") end if %>
20.32% Coca-Cola <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: KO)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: KO)") end if %>
18.44% Travelers Group <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: TRV)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: TRV)") end if %>
13.66% Gen'l Electric <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: GE)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: GE)") end if %>
12.26% Morgan (J.P.) & Co <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: JPM)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: JPM)") end if %>
12.12% Gen'l Motors <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: GM)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: GM)") end if %>

Current Dow Order | 1998 Dow Returns

[Robert Sheard is the author of the The Unemotional Investor (Simon & Schuster, 1998) available now at Amazon.com and your local bookseller.]


08/12/98 Close
Stock  Change   Last 
 -------------------- 
 UK   +   3/8   47.31 
 IP   +   1/2   43.13 
 MO   +   3/16  42.06 
 EK   -  11/16  81.81 
  
 
 
                    Day   Month    Year 
         FOOL-4   +0.30%  -2.70%  10.90% 
         DJIA     +1.06%  -3.72%   8.15% 
         S&P 500  +1.43%  -3.25%  11.73% 
         NASDAQ   +1.83%  -2.50%  16.25% 
  
     Rec'd   #  Security     In At       Now    Change 
  
  12/31/97  206 Eastman Ko    60.56     81.81    35.09% 
  12/31/97  291 Union Carb    42.94     47.31    10.19% 
  12/31/97  289 Int'l Pape    43.13     43.13     0.00% 
  12/31/97  276 Philip Mor    45.25     42.06    -7.04% 
  
  
     Rec'd   #  Security     In At     Value    Change 
  
  12/31/97  206 Eastman Ko 12475.88  16853.38  $4377.50 
  12/31/97  291 Union Carb 12494.81  13767.94  $1273.13 
  12/31/97  289 Int'l Pape 12463.13  12463.13     $0.00 
  12/31/97  276 Philip Mor 12489.00  11609.25  -$879.75 
  
  
                              CASH    $754.73 
                             TOTAL  $55448.42