Monday, November 24, 1997
The Daily Workshop
Report
by Robert Sheard
(TMF Sheard)
LEXINGTON, KY. (Nov. 24, 1997)
In recent weeks we've had a number of discussions, both here and in the Dow Dividend Approach area, about strategies to complement (or use in lieu of) the basic Dow models.
One approach is to start with a pre-defined field of stocks, perhaps all stocks with a market capitalization over a certain amount, then screen by dividend yield and choose from there, using pre-defined criteria. Another is to set a limit for the field of stocks, say the 100 largest, before performing the high-yield screens.
Today I'll post two lists of stocks. The first begins with all U.S. large-cap stocks in the Value Line database (defined as having a market cap of $5 billion or more). There are currently 334 such stocks. I'll sort them by dividend yield, eliminate non-industrial stocks (utilities, phone companies, railroads, REITs), and then include the top thirty here.
The second list will follow the same procedures except that instead of all stocks with market caps of $5 billion or more, I'll use a field of only the 100 largest U.S. stocks.
Once you have the high-yield list of stocks, you must decide how you want to choose from the list. One possibility is simply to perform a Beating the Dow-like screen, choosing the ten or twenty highest yielders and sorting by lowest price. Another method is to choose from the high-yield list in descending order, but limiting yourself to only one stock per industry group in order to focus on diversification. I suspect there are a number of other possible alternatives, but these seem to cover some of the more likely possibilities in addition to Beating the Dow and Ethan Haskel's Beating the S&P. Let's get to the lists.
From the All Large-Caps Group (334 stocks)
Yld Stock Ticker Industry 5.95 RJR Nabisco Holdings RN Tobacco 5.32 UST Inc. UST Tobacco 4.89 Chrysler C Auto 3.94 Ford Motor F Auto 3.78 Philip Morris MO Tobacco 3.57 Dow Chemical DOW Chemical 3.47 Atlantic Richfield ARC OilInteg 3.46 Occidental Petroleum OXY OilInteg 3.40 Bankers Trust NY Bt Bank 3.32 Penney (J.C.) JCP Retail 3.28 Pharmacia & Upjohn PNU Drug 3.27 Gen'l Motors GM Auto 3.11 Texaco Inc. TX OilInteg 3.07 PNC Bank Corp. PNC Bank 3.05 Morgan (J.P.) & Co JPM Bank 3.03 Amoco Corp. AN OilInteg 3.03 Int'l Flavors & Frag. IFF ChemSpec 3.02 Genuine Parts GPC Auto-Rep 2.98 Fleet Fin'l Group FLT Bank 2.96 Weyerhaeuser Co. WY Paper 2.93 Eastman Kodak EK Instrmnt 2.93 Lincoln Nat'l Corp. LNC InsDivrs 2.84 Gen'l Mills GIS FoodProc 2.82 Chevron Corp. CHV OilInteg 2.82 Banc One Corp. ONE BankMid 2.82 Mobil Corp. MOB OilInteg 2.78 Waste Management WMX Environm 2.75 Marsh & McLennan MMC InsDivrs 2.75 Phillips Petroleum P OilInteg 2.74 SAFECO Corp. SAFC InsPrpty
From the 100 Largest Stocks
Yld Stock Ticker Industry 4.89 Chrysler C Auto 3.94 Ford Motor F Auto 3.78 Philip Morris MO Tobacco 3.57 Dow Chemical DOW Chemical 3.47 Atlantic Richfield ARC OilInteg 3.27 Gen'l Motors GM Auto 3.11 Texaco Inc. TX OilInteg 3.05 Morgan (J.P.) & Co JPM Bank 3.03 Amoco Corp. AN OilInteg 2.93 Eastman Kodak EK Instrmnt 2.82 Chevron Corp. CHV OilInteg 2.82 Banc One Corp. ONE BankMid 2.82 Mobil Corp. MOB OilInteg 2.64 Exxon Corp. XON OilInteg 2.59 First Union Corp. FTU Bank 2.54 Heinz (H.J.) HNZ FoodProc 2.50 NationsBank Corp. NB Bank 2.43 Amer. Home Products AHP Drug 2.43 First Chicago NBD FCN BankMid 2.40 Anheuser-Busch BUD Alco-Bev 2.25 Minnesota Mining MMM ChemDiv 2.23 Emerson Electric EMR ElecEq 2.23 Chase Manhattan Corp. CMB Bank 2.15 Caterpillar Inc. CAT Machine 2.10 Du Pont DD Chemical 2.09 Bank of New York BK Bank 1.94 Kellogg K FoodProc 1.94 Merck & Co. MRK Drug 1.93 Sears Roebuck S Retail 1.92 Norwest Corp. NOB BankMid
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