The Daily Workshop
Report
by Robert Sheard
(TMF Sheard)
LEXINGTON, KY. (July 16, 1997) On May 9, 1997, I wrote in this column how wonderful an investor could have done over recent years simply by investing across a range of large-cap technology stocks and holding on. Not just the obvious choices like MICROSOFT <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MSFT)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MSFT)") end if %> and INTEL <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: INTC)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: INTC)") end if %>, but many of the biggest stocks in the sector.
So far, 1997 is keeping the trend alive, even in a year when the Nasdaq Composite Index (which is typically associated with hi-tech stocks because of the influence Microsoft and Intel have on the Index) lags the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 Index.
Taking the fifteen largest technology stocks this year and buying them in equal-dollar amounts would have you absolutely thrashing the market, more than doubling the impressive returns for the S&P 500 so far.
Let's look at all fifteen, ranked by gains so far in 1997. (These returns only include capital gains. No dividends or trading costs are included.)
178% Dell Computer DELL
133% Applied Materials AMAT
92% Lucent Technologies LU
80% Compaq Computer CPQ
80% Microsoft MSFT
79% Texas Instruments TXN
75% Sun Microsystems SUNW
47% Motorola MOT
38% Oracle ORCL
37% Hewlett-Packard HWP
35% Intel INTC
32% Computer Associates CA
29% Int'l Business Machines IBM
25% Cisco Systems CSCO
3% Seagate Technologies SEG
The overall portfolio has grown by 64% so far in 1997, wiping out the otherwise awesome performance of the S&P 500, which is up 26% for the year. If technology stocks continue to surge as they have lately, and the Nasdaq actually catches up to the S&P 500 and DJIA for 1997, look out. It could be yet another record year for technology issues.
Monthly Growth Screens (Jan. 3 to present) 47.37% Relative Strength 25.21% S&P 500 Index 18.15% Unemotional Growth 17.35% Investing for Growth 17.20% Low Price/Sales 9.47% EPS Plus RS 7.66% YPEG Potential -7.22% Formula 90 Annual Value Screens (Jan. 1 to present) 24.67% Dow Jones Ind Avg 21.35% Beating the S&P 19.01% Dogs of the Dow 15.99% Unemotional Value 15.99% Beating the Dow 14.25% Dow Combo 3.79% Foolish Four