FOOL PLATE
SPECIAL
An Investment Opinion by Randy
Befumo
Adobe Tumbles
ADOBE SYSTEMS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ADBE)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ADBE)") end if %> tumbled $4 3/16 to $36 1/16 on reporting
disappointing results after the market close yesterday. This earnings
disappointment for the San Jose, California-based developer of document
management and electronic publishing software followed yesterday's disappointment
over results for database and applications developer ORACLE CORP.
<% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ORCL)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ORCL)") end if %> that were only in line with expectations. Top this all
off with the fact that influential Goldman Sachs software analyst Rick Sherlund
was quoted by Reuter's as saying that "investors should not be
anticipating an upside in the quarter to any great degree" for
MICROSOFT <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MSFT)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MSFT)") end if %>, and you have a down day for three of the
largest software companies on the planet.
Adobe Systems reported $0.57 EPS excluding a $3.2 million non-recurring charge
for acquired in-process research and development. First Call had been expecting
the company to score $0.59 EPS in its fiscal second quarter, causing disappointed
quantitative investors to dump the shares. Disappointing as they might be,
the quarter marked the third consecutive period of stronger earnings for
the once-addled software giant. Adobe endured weak 1996 results as it digested
the rather large
acquisition of
competitor FRAME Technology and its Macintosh business imploded, and also
faced the indignity of the stock tumbling on the perception that Hewlett-Packard
was moving away from Adobe's PostScript product.
The power of the company's desktop publishing franchise as well as the potential
value of its equity stakes in a number of other software competitors including
NETSCAPE <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: NSCP)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: NSCP)") end if %>, AMERIQUEST
<% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: AQS)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: AQS)") end if %>, and VERITY <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: VRTY)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: VRTY)") end if %> became apparent again to
investors when it reported earnings last
quarter, leading investors to bid the stock up $4 1/8 to $39. Now, because
of a few pennies a share they bid the stock down $4 3/16 to $36 1/16. Given
the performance of Oracle Corp. yesterday, however, it is unclear whether
Adobe investors would have been able to stomach results only in line with
expectations. Certainly Microsoft's $1 11/16 dip to $128 1/2 this morning
has more to with the diminishing prospects of an earnings surprise rather
than any actual change in the company's core business. Whether or not this
is the most profitable approach to adopt will be demonstrated over the next
few months.
UPS
RF MONOLITHICS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: RFMI)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: RFMI)") end if %> rose $2 7/8 to $19 after the radio frequency
components company reported Q3 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.20, up 82%
over last year on a 42% increase in revenues, to $12.8 million.
DRAM-to-CPU interface company RAMBUS INC. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: RMBS)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: RMBS)") end if %> gained another
$5 3/8 to $49 1/8 after the company's CEO appeared on CNBC's Squawk Box
this morning.
EL CHICO RESTAURANTS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ELCH)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ELCH)") end if %> jumped $1 1/4 to $9 after the
company said it has retained an investment banker to evaluate two unsolicited
acquisition proposals.
Uddergold Plus and Uddergold Teat Dip chemicals compound maker ALCIDE
CORP. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ALCD)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ALCD)") end if %> picked up $2 1/4 to $35 1/4 after appearing in
Investor's Business Daily's "New America" column, which discussed
the prospects for the company's poultry antiseptic.
IFR SYSTEMS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: IFRS)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: IFRS)") end if %> gained $1 to $18 after the electronic test
equipment manufacturer announced a $6.4 million Army contract. As of last
quarter, the company's yearly revenue run-rate was $100 million.
Color print server company SPLASH TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: SPLH)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: SPLH)") end if %>
added $2 1/2 to $29 1/2 on announcing the commencement of delivery of new
products announced earlier this year.
VANSTAR CORP. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: VST)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: VST)") end if %> gained $1 1/4 to $12 after the Wall Street
Journal today reported that major corporate PC resellers say that "a
slump that spilled over into April from the first quarter [had] disappeared
by May."
DOWNS
Regional airline MIDWEST EXPRESS HOLDINGS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: MEH)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: MEH)") end if %> slid $2 5/8
to $26 3/8 after the company said it will report Q2 EPS below expectations
of $0.81 due in part to unexpected engine repairs. The company also said
it has stepped up its share repurchase program.
Goldman Sachs downgraded its ratings on a number of airlines today, citing
federal budget talks, where House Ways & Means Committee proposals are
targeting higher taxes on airlines and taxes on frequent flier benefits.
United Airline parent UAL CORP. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: UAL)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: UAL)") end if %> lost $1 3/4 to $72 1/2,
DELTA AIR LINES <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: DAL)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: DAL)") end if %> lost $2 1/2 to $86 3/4, and American Airlines
parent AMR CORP. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: AMR)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: AMR)") end if %> dropped $2 3/4 to $92 1/2.
WANDEL & GOLTERMANN TECHNOLOGIES <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: WGTI)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: WGTI)") end if %> lost $2 1/8 to
$9 1/4 after the network analysis
equipment maker pre-announced Q3 EPS of $0.02 to $0.07, below estimates
of $0.18, prompting a downgrade from regional broker Interstate Johnson Lane
to "neutral" from "buy."
Remote control systems company AMX CORP. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: AMXX)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: AMXX)") end if %> slumped $1
5/8 to $6 1/8 after announcing yesterday that it expects to report a loss
of $0.04 to $0.06 per share in its first quarter, below estimates of $0.08,
despite revenue growth of 46%. That elicited a Piper Jaffray downgrade to
"neutral" from "strong buy."
BEAUTICONTROL COSMETICS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: BUTI)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: BUTI)") end if %> lost $1 3/8 to $11 1/2 after
the network marketing cosmetics company reported Q2 EPS of $0.17, showing
little growth year-over-year and missing estimates of $0.24.
Graphics accelerator chips company S3 INC. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: SIII)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: SIII)") end if %> fell $1
3/32 to $11 1/32 after UBS Securities lowered its rating on the company to
"hold" from "buy," saying channel checks have revealed accelerating price
erosion.
MONRO MUFFLER BRAKE <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MNRO)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MNRO)") end if %> lost $1 1/8 to $15 5/8 on warning
yesterday that it sees Q1 revenue growth of up to 8% and EPS of $0.39 to
$0.42, below the mean First Call estimate of $0.48.
Natural gas distributor NGC CORP. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: NGL)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: NGL)") end if %> fell $1 1/2 to $15 7/8
after Jefferies Group lowered its rating on the company to "hold" from "buy"
and adjusted its 1997 EPS estimate downward to $0.80 from $0.95.
SIGNAL TECHNOLOGY <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(AMEX: STZ)") else Response.Write("(AMEX: STZ)") end if %> fell $1 1/8 to $6 5/8 after the electronics
components manufacturer pre-announced second quarter revenues and earnings
below expectations.
CONFERENCE CALLS
ADOBE SYSTEMS <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ADBE)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ADBE)") end if %>
after 8:45 p.m. EDT for 3 days
(800) 633-8284 (reservation # 2805001)
06/19/97 (Thursday)
BRODERBUND SOFTWARE <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: BROD)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: BROD)") end if %>
(800) 642-1687 (ID#427430) -- replay available through 6/23
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Randy Befumo (TMF Templr), a Fool
Fool Plate SpecialDale Wettlaufer (TMF Ralegh), another Fool
Ups & DownsBrian Bauer (TMF Hoops), and yet another Fool
Editing