<THE EVENING NEWS>
Wednesday, March 11, 1998
MARKET CLOSE
DJIA:           8675.75   +32.63       (+0.38%) 
 S&P 500:        1068.47    +4.22       (+0.40%) 
 Nasdaq:         1756.85    +8.34       (+0.48%) 
 Value Line ndx   954.17    +3.77       (+0.40%) 
 30-Year Bond  102 19/32    +9/32   5.94% Yield 
 

HEROES

Weyerhaeuser Co. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: WY)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: WY)") end if %> rose $3 3/8 to $55 3/4, moving higher with other paper companies following Monday's announced merger between newsprint maker Bowater Inc. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: BOW)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: BOW)") end if %> and Canada's Avenor Inc. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: ANR)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: ANR)") end if %>. Contributing to the overall rise was renewed positive sentiment about the industry in the wake of a recent American Forest & Paper Association conference. Mead Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: MEA)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: MEA)") end if %> gained $1 1/4 to $37; Georgia-Pacific Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: GP)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: GP)") end if %> rose $2 9/16 to $68 1/16; Champion International Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: CHA)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: CHA)") end if %> climbed $1 3/4 to $54 13/16; and International Paper <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: IP)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: IP)") end if %> moved $1 7/16 higher to $51 7/8. Paper demand remains strong while the overall supply has stabilized, permitting the companies to shrug off the recent slowdown in sales to Asia. Also, falling pulp prices are helping to keep costs in line. But one major pulp producer, Stone Container Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: STO)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: STO)") end if %>, feels that prices for the input have hit rock-bottom and is raising its price for certain pulps earmarked for Japan by 67%. That news pushed Stone Container $1 higher to $13 1/4.

PC maker Apple Computer <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: AAPL)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: AAPL)") end if %> added $2 1/16 to $26 1/8 after striking yet another deal with the Dark Side, software juggernaut Microsoft <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MSFT)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MSFT)") end if %>. This time around the two companies agreed to combine their Macintosh Java technologies. Microsoft, in addition to making Java a more powerful tool for writing Windows applications, will work with Apple to make the language more powerful for writing native Macintosh applications. This will allow Apple to take advantage of the growing pool of Java developers and potentially beef-up applications written for Apple's operating system. This move follows Microsoft's recent commitment to launch its Office 98 software on the Mac using technologies not available in the Windows version and its decision to make its Internet Explorer browser available to Mac users. Since the beginning of the year, Apple's stock has led all of the PC makers, rising roughly 50%. Also helping Apple shares today was an announcement by computer retailer CompUSA Inc. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: CPU)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: CPU)") end if %> that it will launch Apple "store within a store" environments in all of its 149 Superstores this weekend.

Advanced Fibre Communications <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: AFCI)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: AFCI)") end if %> gained $4 1/2 to $34 3/4 after the local loop telecom switching products manufacturer was reiterated a "strong buy" at Hambrecht & Quist yesterday. Analyst Joe Noel said the company is not experiencing seasonality in the quarter, which contrasts with other telecom equipment companies that have gotten crushed by lumpy telecom carrier ordering patterns. Noel expects the company to generate $82.2 million in revenues and EPS of $0.14 in the first quarter, and he thinks that there may be upside to Q2 and Q3 per-share earnings. Further, international sales are shaping up better than expected, which lends further leverage to the company's earnings.

It was payday for benefit and payroll outsourcing firm Administaff Inc. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: ASF)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: ASF)") end if %> as its stock rose $2 1/2 to $42 1/4. The company said it has completed its previously announced alliance with financial services giant American Express <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: AXP)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: AXP)") end if %> to provide personnel management services to Amex's small business customer base. As part of the agreement, Amex bought 693,126 Administaff shares and warrants for an additional 2 million shares for $17.7 million. Amex also received the right to plop one of its executives on the Administaff board. The deal is a coup for Administaff, which provides comprehensive personnel management services for more than 1,900 small- and medium-sized business clients. Given Amex's well-established corporate credit card, travel, and tax services for small businesses, the deal will allow Administaff to cross-promote its own products to a whole new set of customers.

QUICK TAKES: Computer Sciences Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: CSC)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: CSC)") end if %> jumped $4 11/16 to $101 5/8 after the computer services firm said it had received an $11 million order to provide software to the U.S. Marine Corps... Internet software developer Verity Inc. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: VRTY)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: VRTY)") end if %> rose $1 11/16 to $6 7/8 after the company sued IBM <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: IBM)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: IBM)") end if %> unit Lotus Development Corp. for allegedly misappropriating trade secrets under a 1992 software licensing agreement... Document management software developer FileNET Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: FILE)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: FILE)") end if %> leapt $3 23/32 to $38 1/8 on announcing a new series of global marketing, development, and support programs with Microsoft Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MSFT)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MSFT)") end if %>... Power line filter and telecommunications connector maker Corecom Inc. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CORC)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CORC)") end if %> picked up $2 5/8 to $12 3/8 after agreeing to be acquired by privately owned Communications Instruments Inc. for $51.2 million in cash, or $13 per share.

Fisher Scientific International <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: FSH)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: FSH)") end if %> gained $5 7/16 to $60 3/16 after the laboratory products company declared a five-for-one stock split yesterday... Dental insurance plan operator United Dental Care <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: UDCI)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: UDCI)") end if %> rose $1 to $17 15/16 after agreeing to be acquired by insurer Protective Life Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: PL)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: PL)") end if %> in a deal valued at $175 million... Investment advisor White River Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: WHRC)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: WHRC)") end if %> added $4 5/8 to $84 7/8 after financial services holding company Fund American Enterprises Holdings <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: FFC)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: FFC)") end if %> offered to buy the 79.2% stake in the company that it does not already own at a price of $85 per share in cash... New Holland N.V. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: NH)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: NH)") end if %> drove $2 1/8 higher to $27 7/8 after the manufacturer of construction and agricultural equipment was upgraded to "buy" from "market perform" by Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette.

Physician practice management form Medical Manager Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MMGR)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MMGR)") end if %> rose $2 5/16 to $27 15/16 after BT Alex. Brown started coverage of the company with a "strong buy" rating... AstroPower Inc. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: APWR)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: APWR)") end if %> lifted off for a $7/8 gain to $9 1/8 after the maker of photovoltaic solar cells was rated a "strong buy" in initial coverage by First Albany... Fiberoptic communications equipment firm Ciena Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CIEN)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CIEN)") end if %> tacked on $2 1/4 to $43 1/4 after J.P. Morgan started coverage of the company with a "buy" rating... Silicon carbide-based semiconductor devices maker Cree Research <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CREE)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CREE)") end if %> moved up $2 3/4 to $18. Former Fidelity Magellan fund manager Jeffrey Vinik said in a federal filing today that his investment group sold 233,900 of the company shares, cutting its stake to 3.8% from 5.6%.

The American depositary shares of Spanish telecom Telefonica de Espana <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: TEF)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: TEF)") end if %> traded $5 15/16 higher to $116 7/16 after announcing yesterday a global alliance with WorldCom Inc. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: WCOM)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: WCOM)") end if %> and MCI Communications <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MCIC)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MCIC)") end if %>... Busline Greyhound Lines <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(AMEX: BUS)") else Response.Write("(AMEX: BUS)") end if %> motored ahead $3/8 to $5 3/8 after announcing that ticket sales in February increased 9% over the same period a year ago... Thin client/server system software developer Citrix Systems <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CTXS)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CTXS)") end if %> gained $4 1/8 to $44 3/4 after signing licensing agreements with six hardware and software manufacturers, including Philips Electronics <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: PHG)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: PHG)") end if %> and a unit of Hewlett-Packard <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: HWP)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: HWP)") end if %>... Mortgage finance company BNC Mortgage <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: BNCM)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: BNCM)") end if %> jumped $2 1/8 to $11 5/8 after selling 3.2 million shares in an initial public offering at $9.50 per share.

Jefferson Smurfit Corp.<% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: JJSC)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: JJSC)") end if %> advanced $1 7/16 to $17 3/4 after Standard & Poor's rated the firm's $1.3 billion credit facility "double-B" and said the paperboard and packaging company's outlook is "stable"... Equipment leasing company Newcourt Credit Group <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: NCT)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: NCT)") end if %> jumped $3 1/2 to $52 1/8 after inking a five-year deal to finance the equipment sales of Lucent Technologies <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: LU)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: LU)") end if %>... Retailer Claire's Stores <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: CLE)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: CLE)") end if %> rang up $1 1/16 to $22 after announcing that it will acquire specialty teen apparel chain Lux Corp. for about $43 million in stock... Healthcare products company Q-Med Inc. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: QEKG)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: QEKG)") end if %> shot up $1 1/8 to $6 7/8 after the company agreed to terminate its strategic alliance with SmithKline Beecham <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: SBH)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: SBH)") end if %>. Q-Med will retain all future revenue from managed care contracts produced by the alliance.

Cereal bar and fruit snack maker Grist Mill Co. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: GRST)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: GRST)") end if %> ground out a $2 1/32 gain to $14 9/32 after agreeing to be acquired by International Home Foods <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: IHF)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: IHF)") end if %> for about $105 million in cash, or $14.50 per share... Genzyme Tissue Repair <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: GENZL)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: GENZL)") end if %>, a separately traded division of biological products company Genzyme Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: GENZ)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: GENZ)") end if %>, gained $11/16 to $8 7/8 after announcing that a group of orthopedic surgeons said 86% of patients treated with the firm's product to repair damaged knee cartilage showed improvement two years after treatment... Hearing improvement technologies company Symphonix Devices <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: SMPX)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: SMPX)") end if %> was lifted $7/8 to $15 3/4 after its Vibrant semi-implantable hearing device was approved for sale in the 15 European Union member countries.

Specialty imaging products maker Nashua Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: NSH)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: NSH)") end if %> gained $1 1/4 to $14 1/4 on reporting a Q4 operating loss of $0.19 per share compared to earnings of $0.08 per share a year ago. The company also said it will sell most of its photofinishing business to an unspecified privately owned U.S. firm for $52.5 million... Terex Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: TEX)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: TEX)") end if %> increased $1 5/8 to $24 1/4 after Standard & Poor's raised the credit rating of the maker of earth movers and telescopic mobile cranes to "single B plus" from "single B minus" and took the company off of CreditWatch... Price Communications Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(AMEX: PR)") else Response.Write("(AMEX: PR)") end if %> rose $1 to $12 after the communications company announced a five-for-four stock split yesterday... Arts and crafts retailer Michaels Stores <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MIKE)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: MIKE)") end if %> advanced $2 3/4 to $39 1/2 after reporting Q4 EPS of $0.79, which topped the First Call mean estimate of $0.73.

GOATS

Yesterday it was cigar maker Consolidated Cigar Holdings <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: CIG)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: CIG)") end if %> that put a damper on Swisher International Group <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: SWR)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: SWR)") end if %>. Today Swisher returned the favor, sliding an additional $1 5/8 to $13 1/8 on announcing after the bell yesterday that it expects first quarter sales and earnings to fall below expectations. The maker of cigars and smokeless tobacco products blamed the shortfall on excess wholesale cigar inventories and a moderation in retail sales growth. This follows Consolidated's warning yesterday that its Q1 earnings will also show little or no growth compared with a year earlier. The bad news led Morgan Stanley Dean Witter to downgrade both Swisher and Consolidated to "neutral" from "strong buy." Consolidated was stubbed out $2 to $19 today, and General Cigar Holdings <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: MPP)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: MPP)") end if %> was smoked for a $2 1/16 loss to $15 1/4.

BetzDearborn Inc. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: BTL)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: BTL)") end if %> dropped $3 5/16 to $56 7/16 after the water and chemicals treatment company announced plans to issue $400 million of securities that may include debt securities, common stock, preferred stock, and warrants. The company also announced that January and February sales were softer than expected due to weather conditions, including an ice storm in Quebec and extremely mild winter conditions in the U.S., as well as the economic turmoil in Asia. Blame it on El Nino and the "Asian Contagion." Meanwhile, Standard & Poor's assigned the company a corporate credit rating of triple-'B' with a positive outlook, and J.P. Morgan cut its rating on the company to "long-term buy" from "buy."

QUICK CUTS: THQ Inc. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: THQI)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: THQI)") end if %> plunged $7 15/16 to $24 1/2 after announcing late yesterday that its licensing agreement with WCW World Championship Wrestling will not be renewed... Apparel and footwear retailer Phillips-Van Heusen <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: PVH)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: PVH)") end if %>, whose brands include Bass and Izod, lost $9/16 to $11 13/16 after reporting fourth quarter earnings of $0.20 (before charges) versus $0.29 in the year-earlier period. During the quarter, the company experienced a substantial drop in sales in its footwear business and had higher advertising expenses.

Wireless communication systems equipment supplier Andrew Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ANDW)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ANDW)") end if %> sank $2 1/2 to $22 1/4 after announcing after the bell yesterday that it anticipates second quarter earnings to fall short of analysts' expectations... International telecommunications concern Telegroup Inc. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: TGRP)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: TGRP)") end if %> was disconnected for $2 9/16 to $15 after announcing late yesterday a fourth quarter loss of $0.35 per share before charges compared with a loss of $0.08 in Q4 1996... PSW Technologies <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: PSWT)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: PSWT)") end if %>, which provides software services to the R&D organizations of technology companies, was knocked down $1 1/8 to $6 7/8 after announcing late yesterday that its first quarter revenue and earnings will fall below expectations due to an anticipated $645,000 project milestone payment that the company will not receive.

Mexican industrial conglomerate Desc SA de CV <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: DES)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: DES)") end if %> slid $1 1/2 to $28 3/4 after announcing it expects first quarter operating income to fall below the year-earlier period. Slower-than-anticipated sales growth in its auto parts division, price cuts for petrochemical products, and lower-than-expected sales in its food and consumer products division all have contributed to slower earnings growth... Benton Oil & Gas <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: BNO)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: BNO)") end if %> sank $15/16 to $10 3/4 after it was cut to a "hold" from "buy" by CIBC Oppenheimer. The oil and gas producer today announced that its proved oil reserves as of December 31 were an estimated 120.8 million barrels of oil equivalent (BOE), 10% higher than the 109.6 million BOE reported at the end of 1996.

Rock-Tenn Co. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: RKT)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: RKT)") end if %> tanked $2 3/4 to $16 15/16 after announcing late yesterday that it expects its sales and earnings will be negatively impacted through the end of 1998. The paperboard manufacturer blamed the projected shortfall on reduced demand for the company's recycled paperboard, as well as lower volume and certain operating inefficiencies within the Waldorf folding carton operations acquired in January 1997... Kyoto, Japan-based Kyocera Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: KYO)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: KYO)") end if %> tumbled $4 to $100 on concern that its struggling mobile phone business, which makes up a fourth of the company's sales, could depress earnings. The company's main business of making ceramic semiconductor packaging has suffered since Intel <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: INTC)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: INTC)") end if %> opted to switch to resin packaging for many of its computer chips.

Let's Talk Cellular & Wireless <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: LTCW)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: LTCW)") end if %> fell $7/8 to $12 1/2 after the specialty retailer of cellular and wireless products and services reported second quarter earnings of $0.12 a share before charges versus $0.14 for the same period last year... Internet companies ended their rally today after The Wall Street Journal's "Heard on the Street" column reported that "lots" of hedge fund managers are shorting Internet stocks, "betting on a decline in their price because of the stratospheric valuations they have taken on lately." Search engines Excite Inc. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: XCIT)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: XCIT)") end if %> fell $4 7/8 and $51; Infoseek Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: SEEK)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: SEEK)") end if %> sank $2 3/16 to $18 9/16; Yahoo! Inc. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: YHOO)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: YHOO)") end if %> fell $3 1/4 to $84 1/4; and Lycos Inc. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: LCOS)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: LCOS)") end if %> lost $3 1/16 to $42 1/4. Online bookstore Amazon.com <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: AMZN)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: AMZN)") end if %> dropped $3 15/32 to $79 5/8; Cyber-auctioneer Onsale Inc. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ONSL)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: ONSL)") end if %> sold off for $1 1/2 to $33 1/2; and online travel agency Preview Travel <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: PTVL)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: PTVL)") end if %> slid $1 1/8 to $26 1/8.

Call-center software and services provider Davox Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: DAVX)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: DAVX)") end if %> fell $2 25/32 to $30 27/32 after announcing that it will acquire closely held AnswerSoft Inc. for about $85.4 million in stock.

Speech recognition software company Lernout & Hauspie Speech Products <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: LHSPF)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: LHSPF)") end if %> fell $10 3/4 to $81 3/4 after Paribas Capital Markets yesterday released a research note saying "we've seen a lot of product announcements and we haven't seen so many products yet," according to Bloomberg News.

RATINGS MOVERS: Nikko Research Center Ltd. downgraded Toyota Motor Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: TOYOY)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: TOYOY)") end if %> to a "2-'' rating from its previous "1,'' or basically to "underperform by 10% or less" from "outperform," driving the Japanese auto maker down $1 15/16 to $52... Samsonite Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: SAMC)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: SAMC)") end if %> slipped $1 3/4 to $35 1/4 after Salomon Smith Barney lowered its rating on the luggage maker to "outperform" from "buy"... Information technology staffing services supplier Syntel Inc. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: SYNT)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: SYNT)") end if %> dropped $2 3/8 to $36 3/8 after Prudential Securities cut its rating on the company to "hold" from "buy"... Mortgage insurance provider MGIC Investment Corp. <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(NYSE: MTG)") else Response.Write("(NYSE: MTG)") end if %> lost $3 9/16 to $67 5/8 after Morgan Stanley Dean Witter lowered its rating on the company to "neutral" from "outperform."

FOOL ON THE HILL
An Investment Opinion
by Louis Corrigan

Computer Learning De-Centered

With corporations desperate for skilled information technology workers, Computer Learning Centers <% if gsSubBrand = "aolsnapshot" then Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CLCX)") else Response.Write("(Nasdaq: CLCX)") end if %> has been doing gangbuster business. Based in Fairfax, Virginia, the company now operates 25 centers in the U.S. plus the newly acquired Delta College in Montreal, where it offers courses on client/server systems and applications programming, networking administration, help desk operations, and tech support. Students pay about $13,000 a year in tuition to attain the skills they hope will connect them to a solid career path. The company's growth has reflected this strong demand, with revenues for the first nine months of the year up 50% to $68.7 million and earnings per share keeping pace, up 52% to $0.41.

Investors have loved the story, sending Computer Learning's stock from a split-adjusted $3 a share two years ago to Tuesday's all-time high of $39 3/8. Short-sellers also liked the story. At its high, the company was valued at 74 times its trailing twelve-month earnings and 66 times its third quarter earnings run-rate. Even adding revenues from recent acquisitions, Computer Learning has trailing sales of just $100 million. At its peak, then, it sported a price-to-sales ratio over seven. Even for a company with attractive 10% profit margins, that was pricey.

So short-sellers piled on to the tune of 4 million shares, a hefty amount considering that company insiders own around 30% of the stock, leaving just 11 million shares in the float. As the stock kept rising, the shorts went on the attack.

Computer Learning's business depends on two things: providing students with the skills to land good jobs and making sure its students' loan default rate remains below 25% so its centers remain eligible for federal aid programs. In theory, if the company does the former, it should have no problem with the latter. The shorts have questioned the company's performance in both areas, and as is common, have worked to get the media to run with their arguments and to get government bodies to take corrective actions. Washington Post reporter Jerry Knight presented the shorts' story in a Monday feature article.

Knight interviewed a dozen unhappy students at the firm's campus in Alexandria, Virginia. They said they had been forced to use dated equipment ("We've never seen a Pentium machine or Windows 95," said one student) and endure unqualified instructors. The Post also indicated that Fahnestock & Co. senior VP Michelle McDonough, who is short the stock, sent undercover agents to take admissions tests at eight schools in six states. McDonough claims that even those who badly failed the tests were granted admission and were encouraged to take out loans. The shorts have also argued that Computer Learning has only avoided running afoul of the default rules by encouraging students to apply for deferments. Short-sellers have reportedly lobbied the Department of Education and congressional staffers to investigate this practice.

This last issue is a touchy one for Computer Learning because in September 1996 its Chicago center temporarily lost its access to federal loan programs because the Education Dept. found that the center's students were defaulting on them in high numbers. The Chicago center was reinstated last year. Still, new trouble on that front could be a major obstacle to the company's growth given that 72% of students rely on these programs.

CEO Reid Bechtle has said that given that Computer Learning's centers have over 11,000 students, it's not hard to find some unhappy ones. He told the Post that the company's teachers are all fully accredited; the equipment students work on is the stuff that companies need help fixing; and default rates have fallen from 21% in 1993 to 16% in 1995, the last year for which there's available data. The shorts, he has said, are just trying to stir up trouble.

"Every dollar the stock goes up is $4 million the shorts take out of their bank accounts," Bechtle reportedly told the Post. "We've already gone through Hiroshima and its time for Nagasaki," he said, apparently hoping to crush critics through some sort of short squeeze.

Monday's story took a major turn yesterday. The Illinois Attorney General charged the company with fraud for the way its Schaumburg, Illinois center allegedly enticed students to attend by misrepresenting the ease with which credits could be transferred to other colleges and the likelihood of landing top jobs with lofty starting salaries. The state also charged that the company understated class sizes and failed to provide adequate computers, books, and classroom equipment. Illinois is seeking restitution, a $50,000 civil penalty, and $50,000 in damages for each of the eight allegations. "We intend to vigorously defend ourselves against these allegations," Bechtle responded yesterday in a press release.

Yet after hitting its all-time high yesterday before this news surfaced, the stock fell $7 1/4 to $29 5/8 before its trading was halted. Today, Computer Learning stock fell another $9 23/32 to close at $19 23/32.

Analyst estimates have risen steadily throughout the past year, and the whispers suggest the company can easily beat the fourth quarter's $0.14 per share estimate on the way to at least $0.73 next year. That puts the stock at 27 times forward estimates, near its projected 30% long-term growth rate. While these new troubles and the ongoing difficulty of finding qualified instructors may pose problems for the company, others argue that Computer Learning should trade at a premium to its growth rate due to the federally regulated moat around its business. All schools of higher education depend on federal loan money, but Uncle Sam requires a school to be in business for at least two years before its students can qualify for loans. That makes it tough for competitors to enter the field. Plus, the Chicago facility accounts for just an eighth of the company's revenues, so the stock's two-day haircut looks awfully severe.

Still, shareholders would do well to operate under the where-there's-smoke-there-may-be-fire premise when their company comes under the gun of short-sellers. Wall Street analysts have become a harried lot, often more interested in selling their customers on a stock or cozying up to a firm for investment banking business than in doing the necessary work to produce strong research. This provides an opportunity for short-sellers, who are often relentless in how deeply they'll dig to find out how a company is really doing. Plus, it's almost always a red flag when shorts begin to register in a CEO's public comments to the media or, even worse, in a company's press releases. Executives who protest too much may know their company's performance alone can't silence the critics.

Whether the recent action in Computer Learning shares offers a buying opportunity or a wake-up call, it at least reinforces an important lesson. When a stock trades at high multiples relative to current and future earnings and provokes massive short interest, investors need to do diligent research. After all, short squeezes can often turn into long squeezes.

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