The Daily Dow
FOOL GLOBAL WIRE
by Robert Sheard (TMF Sheard)
LEXINGTON, KY. (Apr. 17, 1997) -- Fear governs most investors. There's
no way around it. If the market is strong, the most frequently asked question
is, Aren't we due for a plunge? If the market's weak, the standard question
is, Shouldn't I wait until things settle down? In both cases, fear of a loss
is the prime mover.
My standard answer is always to forget the market, though. Start now and
stick with it. Market timing has proven futile over the long haul, but one
thing that can be demonstrated easily is the amazing power of time and
compounding.
Let's compare two investors fresh out of school. One decides to fund an IRA
with $2,000 a year in an index fund (with a long-term market average of 11%).
The other decides he can't afford to invest yet and will get to it "soon."
For the first ten years after school, Ready Freddy socks away his $2,000.
At the end of a decade, though, he decides to stop adding new money and just
let the money already invested keep growing.
During that first decade, Slow Joe doesn't invest anything. Starting in year
11, he begins the same program of annual deposits at $2,000 a year. But to
make up for his slow start, Slow Joe will deposit the $2,000 a year for two
decades instead of one.
At the end of 30 years, Slow Joe's deposited $40,000 and his total portfolio
is worth $142,530. Ready Freddy, who deposited only half that much and then
let it grow on its own, however, has amassed more than twice that amount,
$299,296.
Even putting in half the amount of Joe's deposits, by starting earlier and
letting compounding work for him, Freddy smoked Joe's returns. Just imagine
how well they both would have done (especially Freddy) if they had been getting
returns like the Dow Approach has generated instead of the market average.
Start now and Fool on!
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