Boring Portfolio Report
ANN ARBOR, Mich. (Dec. 17) -- Hurray! The Fed ended its policy meeting today
leaving interest rates untouched, and even though almost no one thought it
would do otherwise, traders decided this was sufficiently good news to arrest
the December market correction.
The DJIA rose 40 to close a few points above 6300 on trading volume of 520
million shares. The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 each rose about 5 points.
That works out to +0.42% for the Naz and +0.70% for the S&P.
The Boring Portfolio managed a 0.57% advance, with six stocks up and only
two (Cisco and Solectron) closing lower.
After the closing bell yesterday, Solectron reported quarterly earnings of
$0.63 per share, not counting a nickel in non-recurring charges associated
with the merger of Force Computers. Although that matched the consensus of
analysts' estimates, it wasn't sufficient to please the analyst over at Alex
Brown. He cut his rating on the stock to "neutral" from "buy."
Later in the day, Solectron's VP of Finance, Dick Gilpin, told a Reuters
reporter that the company remains "on-stream" to meet consensus earnings
estimates for its current quarter (ending in February) and for fiscal 1997.
Gilpin said the First Call consensus EPS estimate of $2.75 for fiscal 1997
was "reasonable" and the company was comfortable with mean EPS estimate of
$0.65 for the second quarter.
I'll be following up with Solectron later this week, as The Motley Fool was
not able to participate in the conference call with analysts. According to
Reuter, the company reiterated its plans to step-up its business in building
complete computer "boxes," rather than just the electronic boards, over the
next two to three years -- to the point where it will account for up to 30%
of the company's revenues. This may have disappointed some analysts, because
box-building is a lower margin activity.
The company's response is that it can run at optimum efficiency with this
mix and expects to "maintain its return on investment levels through higher
asset utilization and inventory turn levels."
Elsewhere in the Borefolio, Green Tree shot up $1 3/8, perhaps nurtured by
the news from the Fed. Green Tree just rolled out its latest asset-backed
securitization, this one consisting of $380 million of consumer-loan backed
securities.
Shares of Oxford Health, Borders Group, Prime Medical, Carlisle, and Oracle
all rose today. All of that was much appreciated here, even if there's no
specific news to account for it.
Tuesday, December 17, 1996
Stock Change Bid
--------------------
BGP + 1/2 34.00
CSL + 1/4 58.50
CSCO - 1/2 62.75
GNT +1 3/8 38.00
ORCL + 5/8 43.13
OXHP +1 3/8 57.38
PMSI + 1/4 11.63
SLR -3 1/4 54.63
Day Month Year History
BORING +0.57% -4.23% 14.68% 14.68%
S&P 500 +0.70% -4.09% 16.80% 16.80%
NASDAQ +0.42% -2.03% 21.65% 21.65%
Rec'd # Security In At Now Change
2/28/96 200 Borders Gr 22.51 34.00 51.03%
2/2/96 200 Green Tree 30.39 38.00 25.05%
5/24/96 100 Oxford Hea 48.02 57.38 19.47%
6/26/96 100 Cisco Syst 53.90 62.75 16.42%
3/8/96 400 Prime Medi 10.07 11.63 15.46%
8/13/96 100 Carlisle C 52.65 58.50 11.11%
10/15/96 100 Solectron 54.52 54.63 0.18%
11/21/96 100 Oracle Cor 48.65 43.13 -11.36%
Rec'd # Security In At Value Change
2/28/96 200 Borders Gr 4502.49 6800.00 $2297.51
2/2/96 200 Green Tree 6077.49 7600.00 $1522.51
5/24/96 100 Oxford Hea 4802.49 5737.50 $935.01
6/26/96 100 Cisco Syst 5389.99 6275.00 $885.01
3/8/96 400 Prime Medi 4027.49 4650.00 $622.51
8/13/96 100 Carlisle C 5264.99 5850.00 $585.01
10/15/96 100 Solectron 5452.49 5462.50 $10.01
11/21/96 100 Oracle Cor 4864.99 4312.50 -$552.49
CASH $10651.57
TOTAL $57339.07
Transmitted: 12/17/96